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NFL Expert Picks: Split Opinions on Vikings-Packers in Week 1

The Vikings open their 60th NFL season Sunday, and will do so in historic fashion, as Week 1 marks the first time the Vikings have opened a season at home against the Packers in team history.

Kickoff is scheduled for noon (CT) for Border Battle No. 120 between the division rivals.

The Vikings were swept by the Packers in 2019 as Green Bay won the division. Minnesota is perfect in their past three season openers at home, getting wins over New Orleans, San Francisco and Atlanta.

Let's see who the experts are picking to win the game:

Vikings 23, Packers 20 — Gregg Rosenthal, NFL.com

The Packers have had a strong offensive line for so long that it's taken for granted. That may no longer be the case after Bryan Bulaga's departure — and a series of injuries — scrambled the right side. The Vikings pass rush will also be shorthanded without Danielle Hunter for at least the first three weeks of the season, but new arrival Yannick Ngakoue's speed should show up on the home turf Sunday. Minnesota's zone-running game should also match up well against a Packers defense that puts six defensive backs on the field more than any other team. This result wouldn't exact revenge for the Monday nighter that decided the NFC North late last season, but it would be a terrific way for the Vikings to establish themselves as the most balanced team in a balanced division.

Packers 28, Vikings 17 — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports

The Packers have had trouble at Minnesota, but they won there last year. This Vikings team isn't as good, which is why I think Aaron Rodgers will go in there and beat them again. The Packers will win a big, early-division game.

Vikings 20, Packers 17 — Vinnie Iyer, Sporting News

The Packers won the division with a strong first season with Matt LaFleur. The Vikings weren't far behind, as they also embraced a more quarterback-supportive approach with their running game and defense. Both ended up losing to the NFC Champion 49ers in the playoffs. The Packers didn't upgrade at wide receiver, and the Vikings traded Stefon Diggs. Minnesota should remember being swept by Green Bay last season. Even with considerable change, the Vikings are a bit tighter defensively than the Packers and will dig deep with ball control to take the early division lead.

Vikings 24, Packers 17 — Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk

These look like the top two teams in the NFC North, and the Vikings look to me like they should have a slight edge as the division favorites this season.

Vikings 27, Packers 20 — Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk

Danielle Hunter isn't playing, but the Vikings have the firepower on both sides of the ball to hold serve at home* against a team that chose to take a step back in the offseason in the hopes of eventually taking a couple of steps forward.

Packers 24, Vikings 23 — Staff, Bleacher Report

In one of only a few acts of unanimity this week, the entire team of B/R correspondents is backing the Green Bay Packers on the road even though they're getting less than a field goal from an opponent that won a playoff game in 2019.

Why such little confidence in the Minnesota Vikings? Home-field advantage might not matter much, and a healthy Aaron Rodgers might be well-positioned to pick on a rebuilding Minnesota secondary.

Rodgers committed late-game heroics in back-to-back Week 1 victories against the Bears over the last two seasons. Now he'll go against a defense that remains talented but might need time to adapt to a new-look cornerback depth chart and a defensive front that swapped out Everson Griffen, Linval Joseph and Stephen Weatherly for Yannick Ngakoue.

There's a little more stability with the Packers, who also have the pass-rushing talent to exploit a perma-vulnerable Minnesota offensive line.

Look back at photos over the course of time featuring games between the Vikings and the Packers.

Pre-game win probabilities: Vikings 53% — FiveThirtyEight.com

4 of 8 experts pick the Vikings, CBS Sports

0 of 7 experts pick the Vikings, USA TODAY Sports

2 of 6 experts pick the Vikings, The MMQB

5 of 10 experts pick the Vikings, ESPN

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