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NFL Expert Picks: Opinions Divided for Vikings at Lions

Back to the division the Vikings go.

Minnesota will break up a five-games-in-six-weeks homestand Sunday with a road trip to Detroit at noon (CT) on FOX.

The Vikings and the Lions have met 122 times, with Minnesota holding an 80-40-2 advantage in the series. The two teams faced off against each other in Week 3 in Minneapolis, with the Vikings rallying from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to edge the Lions 28-24.

Let's see who the experts are picking to win the game:

View photos of the Vikings 53-man roster as of Jan. 14, 2023.

Lions 27, Vikings 24 — Gregg Rosenthal, NFL.com

As an inveterate Lions backer over the last month, it is a little concerning to see everyone else agree. Winners of four of the past five, Detroit has gone from underdog to favorite in this matchup since Sunday, despite having been a home 'dog to then-4-7 Jacksonville at publishing last week.

All the sudden Lions love does make sense, though. The defense is playing with incredible energy, and that unit only needs to be average with Offensive Coordinator Ben Johnson drawing up beautiful game plans for a Lions offense that is finally healthy. Jared Goff eats against zone defenses like the one the Vikings play.

Lions 31, Vikings 28 — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports

This is actually a good game with both teams coming off impressive victories last week. The Vikings are a shoo-in to win the division, but the Lions are alive for a Wild Card spot. The Lions offense will present big problems for a Vikings defense that hasn't played that well. Lions win it behind Jared Goff.

Vikings 31, Lions 28 — Staff, Bleacher Report

The Minnesota Vikings have twice as many wins as the Detroit Lions, but the better team is the road underdog.

In fairness to the Lions, they only lost by four points to Minnesota on the road, and they've made strides since the first meeting with their NFC North rival.

As for the Vikings, they narrowly beat the New York Jets 27-22, who scored one touchdown on six red zone trips last week.

Defensive end Danielle Hunter, cornerback Patrick Peterson and safety Harrison Smith are dealing with an illness. Minnesota's 21st-ranked scoring unit needs all three defenders healthy in a matchup with the Lions high-scoring offense.

Vikings 27, Lions 24 — Vinnie Iyer, Sporting News

Just like the Vikings were disrespected against the Jets at home last week, there's bound to be buzz about them falling to the Lions after the first game at home was so nip-and-tuck. That also would play into the narrative of Detroit being a darling darkhorse in the NFC Playoffs race as a win would keep it alive to win the North ahead of Minnesota.

But the Vikings also hear that noise and will realize they can control this game offensively and defensively with more key talent, experience and better coaching.

Look back at photos over the course of time featuring games between the Vikings and the Lions.

Vikings 30, Lions 27 — Bill Bender, Sporting News

The Lions are favored, a nod to the improvement under second-year Head Coach Dan Campbell. The last three games between the teams have been decided by a combined total of eight points, and Detroit won at Ford Field last season. Still, there's value in the underdog here. The Vikings are 9-0 in games decided by eight or fewer points. The Lions are 2-5 in the same situation.

Lions 24, Vikings 20 — Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk

It might look a little strange that the 5-7 Lions are favored over the 10-2 Vikings, but it makes sense given how well the Lions have been playing lately. They'll win this one.

Vikings 30, Lions 27 — Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk

Nothing gets a 10-2 team more focused and motivated than being a 2.5-point underdog against a team that started the year 1-6.

Pre-game win probabilities: Vikings 61% — FiveThirtyEight.com

5 of 7 experts (2 didn't pick) pick the Vikings, ESPN

1 of 5 experts pick the Vikings, The MMQB

4 of 6 experts pick the Vikings, Bleacher Report

5 of 10 experts pick the Vikings, The Athletic

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