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NFL Expert Picks: Predictions Divided for Vikings-Chiefs in KC

The Vikings will take on the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.

Minnesota looks to move to 7-2 heading as it opens the second half of the season.

Let's see who the experts are picking to win the game:

Vikings 26, Chiefs 21 — Gregg Rosenthal,

The Chiefs will have four home losses in early November unless they pull off the upset with Matt Moore expected to be behind center Sunday. This is not a death knell to Kansas City's title hopes, but the chances of another AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead -- or even a Divisional Round game at home -- get thornier by the week. The Vikings also cannot afford to lose ground in an NFC North that increasingly looks like a two-team race, with the loser facing a brutal path to the Super Bowl. The NFL has been so much worse without Patrick Mahomes the last two weeks that it's jarring.

Vikings 27, Chiefs 23 — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports

The Chiefs have lost three straight at home and will almost certainly be without Patrick Mahomes here. That means Matt Moore again. He was solid last week against the Packers, but Minnesota will put up a stiffer defensive challenge. The Vikings will win a tough road game.

Vikings 27, Chiefs 20 — Tadd Haislop, Sporting News

This game is tough to pick for the same reason the opening line was late to be released: It completely depends on whether Patrick Mahomes plays. With or without their star quarterback, though, the Chiefs will have big problems against the Vikings rushing attack. Minnesota also has the NFL's third-ranked scoring defense, and even Mahomes would be in for a tough day. Ultimately, with Kansas City not getting any pressure from its rivals in the division standings, it still has no reason to rush Mahomes back before he's ready to play.

Chiefs 24, Vikings 21 — Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk

Even without a healthy Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs are a pretty good team. I think they're good enough to put a half to the Vikings impressive run.

Chiefs 24, Vikings 20 — Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk

If the Vikings are going to have a special season they need to win this game. Spoiler: The Vikings are not going to have a special season.

Vikings 27, Chiefs 21 — Staff, Bleacher Report

At the time of publication, there remained no point spread for Sunday's tilt between the Minnesota Vikings and Kansas City Chiefs, solely because the status of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes remains up in the air. With limited information, our guys are willing to make a preliminary consensus pick in favor of a Vikings team that is a lot healthier and more rested than Kansas City.

Even if Mahomes plays, he'll likely be far from 100 percent. Against an underrated defense that has seven takeaways and 12 sacks during a four-game winning streak, that could be a problem.

"Don't forget that the Chiefs weren't playing well even before Mahomes suffered that knee injury," Brad Gagnon said. "They're 1-3 at home, and injuries to Chris Jones, Kendall Fuller, Frank Clark, Alex Okafor, Bashaud Breeland and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif all count for something. Meanwhile, with Adam Thielen possibly returning, the Vikings are extremely healthy. These two teams are just on different levels right now."

Win Percentage: 49.7%, Average Score: Chiefs 24.3, Vikings 23.3 — FOX Sports

Pre-game win probabilities: Vikings 53% —

FiveThirtyEight's 2015 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl LIV. Playoff probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations of the season and will update after each game.

7 of 8 experts pick the Vikings, CBS Sports

7 of 7 experts pick the Vikings, USA TODAY Sports

4 of 10 experts pick the Vikings, SB Nation

6 of 10 experts (one not posted yet) pick the Vikings, ESPN

2 of 6 experts pick the Vikings, The MMQB