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NFL Expert Picks: Who's Favored in Border Battle No. 122?

The Vikings can get back to .500 and defeat their biggest rival in Week 11.

Minnesota (4-5) plays host to Green Bay (8-2) on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium. Kickoff is at noon (CT).

This will be the 122nd overall Border Battle between the division foes.

Let's see who the experts are picking to win the game:

Packers 28, Vikings 24 — Gregg Rosenthal,

The 8-2 Packers are barely favored against the 4-5 Vikings, a sign that Minnesota's underlying statistics are strong and that Vegas still believes regression's coming for the Pack. This Green Bay squad has defied expectations all season, winning nine straight against the spread with a defense that is greater than the sum of its parts and an offense that does just enough. I loved the newfound aggressiveness the Vikings showed last week, and they are talented enough to pull off the upset, but something special has been brewing in Green Bay all season that is hard to quantify, but you know it when you see it. (That's me, giving up on real analysis. But seriously, have you watched this team?)

Packers 24, Vikings 19 — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports

The Packers are playing great defense right now, which will present a real challenge for Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. Minnesota was impressive last week winning on the road against the Chargers. But this Packers team will get the offense back on track again to go with a defense that will slow Cousins in what is a big game. Packers take it.

Packers 26, Vikings 25 — Bill Bender, Sporting News

This is a kitchen-sink game for the Vikings, who can't afford to fall further behind in the NFC North race. The Packers have won the last two at Minnesota, and Rodgers is 7-6 there for his career. Minnesota, which has played in eight one-score games this season, could pull this stunner. We're trusting the Packers defense (that's right) in a close one.

Packers 31, Vikings 21 — Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk

This is the Vikings last chance to make the NFC North interesting. It's not going to happen.

Packers 27, Vikings 17 — Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk

The Green Bay defense is grossly underrated. They'll be the difference on Sunday.

Packers 26, Vikings 23 — Staff, Bleacher Report

Our crew is predictably leaning Green Bay's way, but only with a slim majority. Two pickers have a feeling about Minnesota, which could indicate an anti-trend thought process but also might be a reflection of the fact Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins is in much more of a groove than Packers signal-caller Aaron Rodgers.

The former has eight touchdown passes to zero interceptions and a 104.5 passer rating the last four weeks, while the latter is coming off COVID-19 and has a mere 82.9 rating in his previous two games.

Look back at photos through the years featuring games between the Vikings and Packers.

Pre-game win probabilities: Vikings 41% —

2 of 7 experts pick the Vikings, CBS Sports

1 of 4 experts pick the Vikings, The MMQB

2 of 10 experts pick the Vikings, ESPN

3 of 8 experts pick the Vikings, The Athletic