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Vikings vs. Bills Week 9 Game Preview

EAGAN, Minn. — We circled this one on the calendar when the schedule was released.

There was a hunch that Monday Night Football at U.S. Bank Stadium against Buffalo was going to be great. Somehow, on paper, it's shaping up to be even better than that.

The 6-1 Vikings vs. the 6-1 Bills.

The No. 1 scoring defense (13.3 points per game allowed) vs. the No. 1 scoring offense (33.3 points per game).

The long-awaited encore to the chaotic 2022 matchup that made Bills fans break tables because they were angry — not for fun.

Also, it's Minnesota's Salute to Service game, and Adrian Peterson's Ring of Honor ceremony. There are possible implications, as well.

It's the 22nd matchup in November or later between clubs tied for the best record in the league since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger (h/t NFL Research). At least one of the competing teams has made the Super Bowl in 17 of the 21 prior games. That's a stat to stash away.

The Vikings will start backup QB Carson Wentz because Kyler Murray is week-to-week with a hamstring injury.

Let's preview Minnesota's first prime-time appearance this season.

View photos of the Minnesota Vikings practicing before their Week 9 Monday Night Football matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

3 Prominent Topics

1. Risk/reward of blitz

Josh Allen's résumé is an exception to the rule. That is, trying to condense your work experience and achievements into a page. His are too extensive. So, here are some of his impressive 2026 bullet points.

  • Allen is the first player in history, according to NFL Research, with 8-plus pass touchdowns (11) and 8-plus rush touchdowns (nine) in his team's first seven games of a season; also, he's tied with Johnny Lujack in 1950 for the most rushing scores by a quarterback through seven games
  • Allen leads the NFL in pass EPA per Next Gen Stats with a mark of +60.0, almost seven points greater than the second player, Jared Goff (+53.3); his EPA per dropback (+0.25) is No. 1, as well
  • Allen leads all players in rush EPA at +25.8, and he leads his position in rushing yards after contact with 167; his average yards after contact is 3.0, which is on par with his career high achieved in 2025

Vikings Defensive Coordinator Brian Flores discussed the balance of blitzing a QB like Allen, who is 6-foot-5, 237 pounds and a serious problem when he scrambles; his 11.0 yards per scramble since 2018 is tied with Lamar Jackson for the most among players with at least 25 scrambles, according to Stathead.

"There's risk/reward in pressuring people every week. That's certainly our play style. I don't know if we're going to go too far away from it, but we're not going to be reckless and we're going to understand that with a guy like this, you can have an unblocked defender, and he can make that guy miss," Flores said. "And so, the rest of the coverage, the rest of the rush, we've got to do a great job of working through some extended plays because we're going to have those. You just kind of know that going in.

"Josh is one of the best players in our league. It's a testament to his work," Flores continued, adding he coached against Allen several times when he was in the AFC East with New England and Miami. "At that time, it was 'Hey, keep him in the pocket and make him throw from the pocket' because he's not really that accurate, and that is certainly not the case anymore, and it's fun to watch his growth and development and watch him develop from where he was [years ago] to being, yearly, in the MVP race."

Allen completed 56.3% of his throws in 2018-19. Since then (2020-26), his clip has climbed to 65.8%, and he's finished in the Top 5 on the MVP ballot in five of the past six seasons, collecting the hardware in '24.

2. Handoff to Wentz

The 33-year-old No. 2 overall pick in 2016 is making his 101st career start and seventh for Minnesota (eighth game total). He spoke with media members Thursday and sounded confident in his ability to get Vikings playmakers involved. It helps he's done it before. In the seven games Wentz has played since he joined the Vikings in August last season, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.4 catches and 89.1 receiving yards. In 16 other games in that window, "Jets" has averaged 4.2 receptions for 47.4 yards per outing.

Head Coach Kevin O'Connell expressed the utmost belief in Wentz.

"I'm going to spend a lot of time with Carson and make sure that he's 100% confident and comfortable with the game plan, which is a lot, because he obviously has a level of mastery in the system that I think we can really lean on," O'Connell shared Wednesday. "He's played a lot of football and knows what he likes, knows what he doesn't like — and we apply that — and I think we'll get really good quarterback play. My expectation is Carson's going to play really well because we've called on him multiple times over the past two years, and he stepped in, and we've had production as an offense when that's happened."

3. Offensive efficiency

Minnesota's offense ranks near the bottom in categories such as yards per play, first downs and points, but is toward the top in time of possession and fewest turnovers committed. It's searching for a rhythm.

Offensive Coordinator Wes Phillips provided some context to the struggles and the focus going forward.

"A lot gets [said that] we have some kind of super hard offense or something. I mean, this is NFL football. There's complexity to some of the things that we do," Phillips said. "You're trying to give your guys — whatever your system is — you're not moving people for no reason; you're not motioning for no reason. Everything you're doing is trying to give your guys some sort of slight advantage, slight edge in order for them to win, whether that's angles in the run game, whether that's releases, [etc.].

"You lose a game and you say, 'All right, maybe the execution's not what we wanted in all phases, in all areas.' And you kind of look and you say, 'All right, did we have a bunch of mental errors? Are we busting a lot of things?' And if that's the case, then that is an argument to simplify, tighten the menu, make sure, 'Hey, maybe we put too much on these guys going into a game plan,' " Phillips elaborated. "But when that's not the case, it's more about execution and all 11 being on the same page and executing as one."

2 Talented Bills

1. James Cook III | RB | No. 4

James is the younger brother of former Vikings running back Dalvin Cook, who posted four consecutive seasons with 1,000 rushing yards (and Pro Bowl selections) for Minnesota from 2019-22 after the team drafted him 41st overall in 2017 to be Adrian Peterson's successor. James Cook is only in his fifth season but is closing in on big bro's number of career touchdowns (52 in 90 games) with 48 scores through 73 Bills appearances. Cook enters Week 9 with 101.0 rushing yards per game and is one of three players, behind Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs (110.4) and Kansas City's Kenneth Walker III (110.0), averaging over 100.

After leading the league with 16 rushing touchdowns in 2024, James clinched his first rushing title with 1,621 yards on 309 attempts (5.2 avg.) in 2025. His ascension hasn't slowed down or stalled. In fact, it's accelerated. James has gained 10-plus yards on 23 carries so far this season, which ranks second in the NFL to Gibbs (27). His rate of getting chunks is maybe the most impressive part; he's picked up 10 or more on 16.7% of his runs, which beats his old high (13.9%) set during his first 1,000-yard effort in 2022.

James was a rookie and played 13 snaps the last time these teams met (Dalvin ran for an 81-yard touchdown in that 33-30 OT thriller). James has scored a TD on the ground in six games in a row and is an incredibly efficient runner. His 5.1 career yards per carry would rank third all-time among players at his position with a minimum of 1,000 rushes (James is at 980) after Jamaal Charles (5.4) and Jim Brown (5.2). The 27-year-old, however, is susceptible to coughing up the football. Since 2025, he's fumbled 10 times over 24 games; Bijan Robinson is responsible for the second-most RB fumbles in that span (seven).

Look back at photos over the course of time featuring games between the Vikings and the Bills.

2. Gregory Rousseau | OLB | No. 15

The 30th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft is already a sack shy of his single-season career high (8.0 in 2022 and 2024). It's a credit to the way he started this season, racking a pair of sacks in Weeks 1, 2 and 3. He's just the third player since sacks became an official statistic in 1982 to compile a 2-plus sack streak of at least three games at the beginning of the season, joining Mark Gastineau (three games) when he won the 1984 UPI Defensive Player of the Year Award, and Pro Football Hall of Famer Kevin Greene (four) in 1998. Rousseau accomplished the feat against the Texans, Lions and Chargers. And after going the next three contests without a sack, he rejoined the party with one in Week 8 in the domination of the Ravens.

Rousseau, notably, isn't a one-trick pony. Along with being tied for third in sacks (Will Anderson, Jr., and T.J. Watt own 7.5), he matched 2014 Associated Press Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt for the most QB hits (22) through a team's first seven games in a season since at least 2006, per Stathead. Rousseau also has defended seven passes, which is No. 2 in 2026 among non-defensive backs (George Karlaftis III, eight), and an impressive increase, considering he had 17 deflections across 78 games entering this year.

At 6-foot-6, 266 pounds, Rousseau jumps off the tape because of his length and his strength. He's recorded 37 pressures to date (fifth most in the NFL) and wins reps — 1-on-1 or with a chipper— in a variety of ways; he owns enough bend to dip underneath and enough power to spear through blocks. Rousseau has accounted for 46.7% of Buffalo's sack production this season — eight other Bills have between half a sack and 1.5 sacks — and is the lone NFL player above 45%, according to Next Gen Stats.

1 More Thing to Know

As mentioned in the intro, it's All Day’s night. The halftime celebration of the Vikings all-time leading rusher, who ranks fifth in rushing yards in NFL history really, is the beginning of what should be a memorable year for the running back that, hopefully, culminates in his Pro Football Hall of Fame enshrinement next August. He deserves it, unequivocally. Peterson played the game the right way — that's the only thing cliché about him. Everything else is unique. His undefeated mindset. His mythical workouts. His irreplicable ability to score from anywhere. It's fair to debate the GOAT running back, but it's ignorant if he's not included in it.

Personally, this writer is thrilled for Peterson's special weekend and Ring of Honor induction. I spent many months chronicling his epic football journey — from his rise to fame in Palestine, Texas, to his legendary days as an Oklahoma Sooner and his unprecedented 2012 comeback season and NFL career. And along the way I realized I was more enamored by Peterson's will to be great than his physical gifts. Peterson was a one-of-a-kind football player, and he still is a tremendously good person.

A.D. reflected on his East Texas roots and revealed his psyche in a Vikings.com interview this summer:

"Growing up in Palestine and being able to accomplish the things that I was able to accomplish, and come from a small town, it means the world. And for me, even more so, I think it puts a stamp on understanding it doesn't matter where you come from, whether it's a big city like Houston, Texas, or Tampa or L.A., or a small country town like Palestine, Texas, you can put in some hard work and set your mind on accomplishing the things you want to accomplish in life. And if you really put the effort in and believe in yourself and really work hard at those dreams, you can accomplish anything that you want to accomplish. So, for me, it's always fulfilling to sit back … and realize I'm from Palestine, Texas, and God blessed me with the talent and the mindset and the work ethic to be able to be the best to ever do it."

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