NFL Expert Picks: Are the Vikings Underdogs in Week 11?

The Vikings (5-4) return home to take on an NFC West opponent in the Arizona Cardinals.

Arizona (4-4-1) is coming off of a 23-20 win at home against the San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are (3-1-1) in the team’s past five games.

Let’s see who the experts pick to win Week 11’s Sunday matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium.


Really thought about picking the Vikings here. This freefall has to end sometime, right? That said, I have no freaking clue how the offensive line is going to compete with Arizona's blitz packages. The trust for Carson Palmer and that Cardinals offense against Mike Zimmer's defense isn't exactly at an all-time high, either. Not after those three hours of mediocre ball against the 49ers last Sunday. Did you know the Cardinals haven't won at Minnesota since 1977? I own that sucker on DVD (sadly, not on VHS). The Vikings couldn't stop Terry Metcalf, the father of '90s great Eric Metcalf. Wonder how they will do versus a much larger Metcalf in David Johnson. #AZvsMIN

Cardinals 17, Vikings 14 *— Elliot Harrison, *NFL.com


I don’t think the average fan realizes what a defensive struggle this game will be.

Not only does this Cardinals-Vikings battle feature the second- and third-ranked defenses in football, respectively. It's also one that features two offenses clinging on for dear life, trying anything to string together drives and save their seasons.

Turnovers will play a gigantic role. Arizona always finds a way to make games close with poorly timed fumbles and Carson Palmer interceptions. But the ball-hawking defense in red won't have to labor to turn *Kyle Rudolph over, either. He only completes short crossing routes and quick slants; Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu will be waiting for them.*

*Cardinals 19, Vikings 17 *— Chris Simms, Bleacher Report


*The Vikings have lost four consecutive games after opening 5-0. Their offensive line is a mess, and might not be fixable. The defense isn’t playing as well either. The Cardinals didn’t look great beating San Francisco last week, but they will find a way here. Cardinals win it with their defense playing big. *

Cardinals 20, *Vikings 17 *— Pete Prisco, CBS Sports


This game is basically a tossup, but I’ll say the Vikings’ slide continues, from 5-0 to 5-5.

*Cardinals 21, Vikings 20 *— Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk


If the Vikings don’t win this one, they may not win another one.

*Vikings 17, Cardinals 13 *— Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk


*The Cardinals have not beaten the Vikings in Minnesota since 1977, but I like Larry Fitzgerald to get the best of his hometown team in front of his hometown fans on Sunday. Arizona is an intriguing team right now. It’s not playing particularly well, it’s not getting the offensive production we expected, and this isn't the same squad from 2015. And yet, the Cardinals are in the mix, David Johnson is gashing opponents, and no one wants to face Bruce Arians' squad. For all we read about the Vikings mighty defense, Arizona's D is second in the league in average yards, points, and passer rating against this season. I just don't see the Vikes generating enough offense to beat them on Sunday. *

*Cardinals 20, Vikings 13 *— Peter Schrager, FOX Sports


Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine generates predictions and box scores for every NFL game for the coming week. The highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 501 times.

Vikings Win Likelihood Percentage: 44.7 percent, Average Score: Cardinals 25, *Vikings 23 *WhatIfSports


FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team’s chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl LI. Playoff probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations of the season and will update after each game.

Pre-game win probabilities: *Vikings 54 percent *FiveThirtyEight.com


*2 of 8 experts pick the Vikings, *CBS Sports

*2 of 6 experts pick the Vikings, *FOX Sports

3 of 5 experts pick the Vikings, USA Today

*4 of 10 experts pick the Vikings, *ESPN


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